2024 Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook - Apr 12, 2022 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)

 
Headquartered at the National Weather Center in Norman, Oklahoma, the Storm Prediction Center is tasked with forecasting the risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the …. Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

Secondary convective development is possible later in the day along the trailing cold front as it surges into southeast TX. It's not clear how far southwest convection will develop along the boundary due to weak low-level convergence, but warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates may encourage isolated storms as far west as SAT ...The Storm Prediction Center is one of the initial participants in the NWS experimental email updates service. The SPC products available with email updates are: Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches and Watch Status updates, Mesoscale Discussions, Day 1, 2, 3 and 4-8 Convective Outlooks, Day 1, 2 and 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks. More info .Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)The convective and fire weather outlook shapefiles and KML files are created based on the outlook/fire points product (as defined by KWNSPTS/KWNSPFW, respectively) then converted to GeoJSON in two versions: overlay and non-overlay. The KML and shapefile are then created based on GeoJSON using GDAL utilities. Additional reformatting steps were ...Mar 7, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Mon Mar 7 00:39:23 UTC 2022 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 070039 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Sun Mar 06 2022 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN …SPC AC 251746 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ... Farther west, additional robust convective development appears likely Sunday afternoon from far east TX into parts of LA and southern/central MS/AL.78,440. 10,949,837. Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Savannah, GA...Fayetteville, NC...Sandy Springs, GA... SPC AC 251746 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ...I've used this resource for a long time - the Occupational Outlook Handbook, a service of the US Bureau of Statistics. I've used this resource for a long time - the Occupational Outlook Handbook, a service of the US Bureau of Statistics. Yo...10,490,266. Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Shreveport, LA...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL... SPC AC 090557 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Mar 2, 2023 · Recent 18Z FWD showed substantial capping, but modifying the sounding for current conditions lessens the convective inhibition considerably. This modified sounding validates the current mesoanalysis, which suggests convective inhibition has eroded for area of north and central TX south of the Metroplex. Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Probabilistic Tornado Graphic. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Tornado Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 21,217.Abstract While previous work has shown that the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlooks accurately capture meteorological outcomes, evidence suggests stakeholders and the public may misinterpret the categorical words currently used in the product. This work attempts to address this problem by investigating public reactions to …Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 86,106. 7,693,240. Omaha, NE...Minneapolis, MN...St. Paul, MN...Des Moines, IA...Sioux Falls, SD... SPC AC 152257 Day 1 Convective Outlook AMEND 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0457 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021 Valid 152245Z - 161200Z ...THERE …Thompson, R.L., 2023: A Comparison of Right-Moving Supercell and Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadoes in the Contiguous United States 2003-21. Published in Wea. Forecasting .Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 13, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook8,033,061. Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL...Murfreesboro, TN... SPC AC 250114 Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0814 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE TENNESSEE ...Probabilistic Graphics ( more info) Tornado. Damaging Wind. Large Hail. (Select thumbnails to view full images) SPC AC 160548 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1248 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT …SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... 29,161,567. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 301732 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS AND FAR NORTHEAST ...Microsoft Outlook's object-embedding capability makes it possible to scan documents and other images directly into your email messages. This allows you to skip the process of scanning and saving the documents separately; the scanned documen...SPC's Online Severe Plot. Severe Plot is SPC's web-based mapping for storm reports from the NWS/SPC severe weather databases. Tornado reports are available since 1950. Hail and wind reports are available since 1955. (Please note: this online application is undergoing beta testing and should be considered experimental.) Mar 1, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Secondary convective development is possible later in the day along the trailing cold front as it surges into southeast TX. It's not clear how far southwest convection will develop along the boundary due to weak low-level convergence, but warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates may encourage isolated storms as far west as SAT ...Apr 4, 2023 · spc ac 040604 day 1 convective outlook nws storm prediction center norman ok 0104 am cdt tue apr 04 2023 valid 041200z - 051200z ...there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms from eastern iowa into northwest illinois and northeast missouri...and from southern missouri southwestward toward ... Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 350,011.Thunderstorms are expected to continue throughout the morning as the front progresses eastward. Strengthening low-level flow ahead of the system will result in a gradual increase in convective coverage throughout the day over the moist sector.SPC AC 300057 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2023 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ... /northern Florida and the peninsula has been stabilized by the remnants of a weakening eastward propagating convective system, ...Mar 25, 2023 · 78,440. 10,949,837. Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Savannah, GA...Fayetteville, NC...Sandy Springs, GA... SPC AC 251746 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ... Recent 18Z FWD showed substantial capping, but modifying the sounding for current conditions lessens the convective inhibition considerably. This modified sounding validates the current mesoanalysis, which suggests convective inhibition has eroded for area of north and central TX south of the Metroplex.Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006). Public Severe Weather Outlook; The SPC is forecasting an outbreak of severe thunderstorms today and tonight across portions of the United States. This is an extremely dangerous situation. Please read the latest public statement about this event.Mar 31, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 20, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookDec 1, 2010 · September 21, 2022: Lightning climatology across the contiguous United States (CONUS) became operational. It can be found here . More news here Overview Conv. Outlook Watches MDs Storm Reports Mesoanalysis Fire Hazards All Products Watches MDs Outlooks Fire Thunderstorm Outlook – Issued: 12/06/2023 at 1220Z Apr 5, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Apr 13, 2022 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Most guidance shows a weakening trend to this morning convection. The potential for additional robust convective development in the wake of the morning thunderstorms is highly uncertain. But, some chance exists for renewed convection Wednesday afternoon/night along and south of a weak front.Microsoft Outlook is a calendar that comes as part of the Microsoft Office package. It is part of the business, home and student versions. The Outlook calendar is part of the Outlook email system that also operates through the Microsoft Off...Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Thu Jun 08 2023 Valid 081300Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE …Apr 27, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Apr 27 17:30:43 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 2 Risk: ... SPC AC 271730 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2023 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN …78,440. 10,949,837. Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Savannah, GA...Fayetteville, NC...Sandy Springs, GA... SPC AC 251746 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ...Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Sep 17, 2023 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)The Thunderstorm Outlooks depict the probability of thunderstorm across the contiguous United States in 4 or 8 hour time periods. The probabilistic forecast directly expresses the best estimate of a thunderstorm occurring within 12 miles of a point. The three probabilistic forecast thresholds are: 10, 40, and 70 percent.Secondary convective development is possible later in the day along the trailing cold front as it surges into southeast TX. It's not clear how far southwest convection will develop along the boundary due to weak low-level convergence, but warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates may encourage isolated storms as far west as SAT ...Oct 15, 2023 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 25, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookProbability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Area Pop. SPC AC 090552 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 PM CST Wed Feb 08 2023 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE …SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHEASTERN ...Mar 24, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Mar 31, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Storm Prediction Center Publications. Complete List Of Publications; We also offer a reverse-chronological version.A complete list of papers lead-authored or co-authored by current SPC staff members is available as well, in addition to the papers provided below that were written at SPC.Mar 24, 2023 · Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. SIG SEVERE. 33,068. 1,876,382. Download the PDF document of the severe weather outlooks for the continental United States, issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) of the National Weather Service (NWS). The outlooks provide narrative and graphic depictions of the risk areas, probabilities and severity of severe thunderstorms, hail, wind and tornadoes for each day.Feb 26, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sun Feb 26 05:58:38 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 260558 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1158 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 13, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookProbability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probabilistic Graphics ( more info) Tornado. Damaging Wind. Large Hail. (Select thumbnails to view full images) SPC AC 160548 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1248 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT …Current Convective Outlooks; Valid Day 1 Outlook till 12Z: Forecaster: Broyles Issued: 11/0054Z Valid: 11/0100Z - 11/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk: …Apr 27, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Apr 27 17:30:43 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 2 Risk: ... SPC AC 271730 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2023 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN …Oct 4, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Oct 4 16:30:17 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 041630 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 041630Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.SPC's Online Severe Plot. Severe Plot is SPC's web-based mapping for storm reports from the NWS/SPC severe weather databases. Tornado reports are available since 1950. Hail and wind reports are available …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.7 Tem 2023 ... Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather ... Colorado Springs, CO... SPC AC 071730 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction ...SPC AC 161602 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1102 AM CDT Tue May 16 2023 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...EXTREME SOUTHERN …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 13, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... Dec 3, 2023 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Sun Dec 3 06:44:41 UTC 2023 ( Print Version | | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion TableProbability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probabilistic Tornado Graphic. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Tornado Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 21,217.The relatively dry and cool airmass associated with the high will make thunderstorms unlikely through tonight. .. Broyles.. 12/12/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 0145Z (5:45PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME. Severe …The threat for severe hail/damaging winds will likely be greatest across the eastern FL coast, where diurnal warming will be maximized ahead of any convection. .. Moore/Darrow.. 04/28/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, …SPC Convective Outlooks. Jeremy Grams and Bill Bunting, Storm Prediction Center. Days 1, 2, and 3. Overview: Convective outlooks for days 1, 2, and 3 consist of categorical and probabilistic graphics that …Mar 24, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT …Otherwise, the remainder of the Outlook remains on track, with severe hail and wind likely with outflow dominant storms across the southern Plains. An instance or two of large hail may still accompany a small convective cluster across central IL (see Mesoscale Discussion 0688 for more details).SPC Convective Outlooks. Jeremy Grams and Bill Bunting, Storm Prediction Center. Days 1, 2, and 3. Overview: Convective outlooks for days 1, 2, and 3 consist of categorical and probabilistic graphics that …Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

Apr 15, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat Apr 15 19:52:10 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 151952 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023 Valid 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN …. Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

Full access Abstract/Excerpt Full Text PDF Abstract While previous work has shown that the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlooks accurately capture …SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... SPC Current MD Page. All times are UTC Notice: The responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions has been transferred to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) on April 9, 2013. Click here for the Service Change Notice.. Archived Mesoscale Discussions To view mesoscale discussions for a previous day, type in the date you …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.MEAD/ROGERS.. 10/26/2010 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.Description: While previous work has shown that the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlooks accurately capture meteorological outcomes, evidence suggests …All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT …Description: The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) develops and issues several forecast products related to convective weather and associated threats. …Most guidance shows a weakening trend to this morning convection. The potential for additional robust convective development in the wake of the morning thunderstorms is highly uncertain. But, some chance exists for renewed convection Wednesday afternoon/night along and south of a weak front.78,440. 10,949,837. Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Savannah, GA...Fayetteville, NC...Sandy Springs, GA... SPC AC 251746 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1246 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF FAR EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ...Dec 15, 2021 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Mar 24, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Microsoft Outlook is a calendar that comes as part of the Microsoft Office package. It is part of the business, home and student versions. The Outlook calendar is part of the Outlook email system that also operates through the Microsoft Off...Mar 29, 2023 · Widespread, regional episode of severe thunderstorms is possible on Friday. An intense mid/upper trough is forecast to eject eastward across the Plains to the central U.S. on Friday. Intense deep-layer southwesterly flow will accompany this system, with a 100+ kt 500 mb jet expanding over much of the Midwest. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 1, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookThe National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) develops and issues several forecast products related to convective weather and associated threats. Among these …Mar 31, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) On April 9th, 2013 at 1500 UTC responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions will transfer to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC). Click here for the Service Change Notice. (Updated: April 5 2013) We added population information potentially impacted by the categorical convective and fire weather outlooks.Mar 2, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Mar 2 06:00:00 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 020600 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Thu Mar 02 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A …SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ...2 days ago · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %. spc ac 081728 day 2 convective outlook nws storm prediction center norman ok 1128 am cst wed mar 08 2023 valid 091200z - 101200z ...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms thursday afternoon into evening across parts of southern arkansas and northern mississippi into adjacent portions of alabama...and perhaps thursday evening across ...Day 2 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. SPC AC 091735 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 AM CST Sat Dec 09 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE …Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers …Day 2 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. SPC AC 091735 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 AM CST Sat Dec 09 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 2 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Apr 4, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Most guidance shows a weakening trend to this morning convection. The potential for additional robust convective development in the wake of the morning thunderstorms is highly uncertain. But, some chance exists for renewed convection Wednesday afternoon/night along and south of a weak front.The SPC produces probabilistic Convective Outlooks in conjunction with the traditional categorical Convective Outlooks. These outlooks are done for all Day 1, Day 2, and Day 3 periods.. Categorical Convective Outlooks. The traditional Convective Outlook is a categorical forecast that specifies the perceived level of threat via the descriptive …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookHeadquartered at the National Weather Center in Norman, Oklahoma, the Storm Prediction Center is tasked with forecasting the risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the …SPC AC 300057 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2023 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ... /northern Florida and the peninsula has been stabilized by the remnants of a weakening eastward propagating convective system, ...Mar 3, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Fri Mar 3 16:11:31 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 031611 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1011 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031630Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Current Day 4-8 Outlook. Forecaster: Grams. Issued: 10/0851Z. Valid: Wed 12/13 1200Z - Mon 12/18 1200Z. Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms (e.g. a 15%, 30% chance that a severe thunderstorm will occur within 25 miles of any point). Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.SPC's Online Severe Plot. Severe Plot is SPC's web-based mapping for storm reports from the NWS/SPC severe weather databases. Tornado reports are available since 1950. Hail and wind reports are available …Feb 29, 2020 · SPC Convective Outlooks. Jeremy Grams and Bill Bunting, Storm Prediction Center. Days 1, 2, and 3. Overview: Convective outlooks for days 1, 2, and 3 consist of categorical and probabilistic graphics that depict severe and general thunderstorm threats across the continental United States, along with a text narrative. 29,161,567. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 301732 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA …SPC's Online Severe Plot. Severe Plot is SPC's web-based mapping for storm reports from the NWS/SPC severe weather databases. Tornado reports are available since 1950. Hail and wind reports are available since 1955. (Please note: this online application is undergoing beta testing and should be considered experimental.) Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Download the PDF document of the severe weather outlooks for the continental United States, issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) of the National Weather Service (NWS). The outlooks provide narrative and graphic depictions of the risk areas, probabilities and severity of severe thunderstorms, hail, wind and tornadoes for each day. 10,490,266. Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Shreveport, LA...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL... SPC AC 090557 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm …Central High Plains Region... Strong 500mb speed max will dig south across MT/eastern ID/southwestern WY by late afternoon. Cold mid-level temperatures and steep lapse rates will result in thermodynamic environment favorable for surface-based convection. Forecast soundings suggest convective temperatures will be breached by …Storm Prediction Center Publications. Complete List Of Publications; We also offer a reverse-chronological version.A complete list of papers lead-authored or co-authored by current SPC staff members is available as well, in addition to the papers provided below that were written at SPC.The convective and fire weather outlook shapefiles and KML files are created based on the outlook/fire points product (as defined by KWNSPTS/KWNSPFW, respectively) then converted to GeoJSON in two versions: overlay and non-overlay. The KML and shapefile are then created based on GeoJSON using GDAL utilities. Additional reformatting steps were ... The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration makes charts for the Intracoastal Waterway available at Charts.NOAA.gov. These charts can be used for planning and analysis but shouldn’t be used as navigational aids.Widespread, regional episode of severe thunderstorms is possible on Friday. An intense mid/upper trough is forecast to eject eastward across the Plains to the central U.S. on Friday. Intense deep-layer southwesterly flow will accompany this system, with a 100+ kt 500 mb jet expanding over much of the Midwest.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.September 21, 2022: Lightning climatology across the contiguous United States (CONUS) became operational. It can be found here . More news here Overview Conv. Outlook Watches MDs Storm Reports Mesoanalysis Fire Hazards All Products Watches MDs Outlooks Fire Thunderstorm Outlook – Issued: 12/06/2023 at 1220ZApr 15, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat Apr 15 19:52:10 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 151952 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023 Valid 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN …Jan 11, 2021 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. At a Glance. Many meteorologists use the NOAA/Storm Prediction Center severe thunderstorm outlooks for severe weather guidance. These outlooks use severe risk …SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)28 Tem 2023 ... Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report ... SPC AC 281730 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center ...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)SPC AC 260117 Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHEASTERN ...Apr 4, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Today's Convective Outlooks: Updated: Mon Dec 11 05:31:30 UTC 2023: Current Convective Outlooks; Valid Day 1 Outlook till 12Z: Forecaster: Broyles Issued: 11/0054Z Valid: 11/0100Z - 11/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk: Current Day 1 Outlook: Forecaster: Broyles/Wendt Issued: 11/0527Z Valid: 11/1200Z - 12/1200ZApr 4, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) SPC AC 031611 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1011 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031630Z - 041200Z ... Farther north, broken convective bands are evident along the northern periphery of the warm sector near the MS/OH Rivers confluence, ...Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Oct 10, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook: Updated: Tue Oct 10 06:00:41 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 2 Risk: ... SPC AC 100600 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Tue Oct 10 2023 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Mar 24, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Description: The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) develops and issues several forecast products related to convective weather and associated threats. …What's New... September 8, 2023: Soliciting Comments through October 5, 2023 on Experimental Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day 1 Convective more January 30, 2023: A webpage highlighting the …SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHEASTERN .... Cordless drill lowes